This paper identified and explored research on the main factors which influence UHV transmission line project cost on the basis of the detail ed subdivision and analysis of the UHV transmission line project. And the author also measured the influence factors by factor analysis and established the forecasting model based on BP neural network by measured factors as the input and the project cost as the output. Finally,comparing the output of the model and the multiple linear regression prediction model with the actual cost to demonstrate the accuracy and applicability of the model,this paper researched empirically by using the data of 75 transmission lines of the 9 UHV DC or AC power transmissions and transformation engineering which had been built or under construction at home and proved that the forecasting model was feasible to the forecast research on the project cost. And it also provided a practical method of implementation for the forecast of engineering cost and optimal management and control.
Xu Li,Li Zhuoran.
Research on Forecasting Model of UHV Transmission Line Project Cost——Base on Factor Analysis and BP Neural Network. Journal of Industrial Technological Economics. 2017, 36(7): 18-26